|
||||||||||||||
Plenary
Lecture
Abstract: A new class of financial market models is
proposed. These models are based on continuous time
random motions with alternating constant velocities c±
(so called "telegraph" process) and with jumps h±
occurring when the velocities are switching. While such
markets may admit an arbitrage opportunity, the model
under consideration is arbitrage-free and complete if
directions of jumps in stock prices are in a certain
correspondence with their velocity and interest rate
behaviour. In the framework of this model we capture
bullish and bearish trends in a market evolution. Values
h± describes sizes of possible crashes, jumps and
spikes. Thus, we study a model that is both realistic
and general enough to enable us to incorporate different
trends and extreme events. We construct financial market
model based on the random processes with finite
velocities which possess a simplicity of Black-Scholes
model. Replicating strategies for European options are
constructed in detail. Explicit formulae for option
prices are obtained. Some peculiarities as memory
effects and a detailed description of volatility are
discussed also.
|
|
|||||||||||||
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
||||||||||||
copyright - designed by WSEAS |